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One of the top rushers in college football will be on display when Kay’Ron Adams and the UMass Minutemen (1-5) host the Toledo Rockets (4-1) on Saturday, October 7, 2023.
The Rockets are very heavy favorites (currently -19) in their matchup versus the Minutemen, with the over/under at 56.5 points. (In terms of the moneyline, the Rockets are -1181 and the Minutemen are +723.)
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Game Info for Toledo vs. UMass
- Game Day: Saturday, October 7, 2023
- Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPNU
- Location: Amherst, Massachusetts
- Stadium: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | -19 | -109 | -111 | 56.5 | -110 | -110 | -1181 | +723 |
Toledo Pick Insights
- Toledo is 1-3-0 against the spread this season.
- Toledo is winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 19-point favorites.
- Toledo games have gone over the point total on three of four occasions (75%).
Toledo Stats & Insights
- Toledo ranks 50th in total defense this year (343.4 yards allowed per game), but has been shining on offense, ranking 22nd-best in the FBS with 465 total yards per game.
- Toledo ranks 52nd in scoring defense this season (22.8 points allowed per game), but has been playing really well on the offensive side of the ball, ranking 11th-best in the FBS with 40.8 points per game.
- Offensively, Toledo ranks 63rd in the FBS with 240.4 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defense ranks 27th in passing yards allowed per contest (191.4).
- Toledo ranks 88th in run defense this season (152 rushing yards allowed per game), but has been shining on the offensive side of the ball, ranking seventh-best in the FBS with 224.6 rushing yards per game.
- On the offensive side of the ball, Toledo has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 21st-best in the FBS by putting up a 48.4% third-down conversion rate. The defense ranks 43rd on defense (34.9% third-down conversion rate allowed).
- With nine forced turnovers (24th in the FBS) against nine turnovers committed (102nd in the FBS), Toledo (0) owns the 67th-ranked turnover margin in college football.
Toledo’s Best Players
- DeQuan Finn has thrown for 954 yards, completing 66.4% of his passes and tossing 10 touchdowns and four interceptions this season. He’s also run for 241 yards (48.2 ypg) on 49 carries with three rushing touchdowns.
- Peny Boone has racked up 515 yards on 68 carries while finding paydirt five times as a runner.
- Junior Vandeross III has hauled in 16 catches for 294 yards (58.8 yards per game) to lead the team so far this season. He’s found the end zone one time as a receiver.
- Jerjuan Newton has hauled in 18 receptions totaling 260 yards, finding the end zone seven times as a receiver so far this campaign.
- Larry Stephens has compiled 10 catches for 110 yards, an average of 22 yards per game. He’s scored two times as a receiver this season.
- Judge Culpepper has collected five sacks to pace the team, while also picking up three TFL and 14 tackles.
- Nate Bauer is the team’s tackle leader this year. He’s collected 26 tackles and one interception.
- Maxen Hook leads the team with one interception, while also recording nine tackles and one pass defended.
UMass Betting Insights
- UMass has covered the spread twice in six opportunities this season.
- UMass has not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 19 points or more this season (0-1).
- Five of UMass’ six games with a set total have hit the over (83.3%).
UMass Pick Insights
- UMass’ defense has been bottom-25 in total defense this season, surrendering 441.8 total yards per game, which ranks 10th-worst. On offense, it ranks 75th with 389.3 total yards per contest.
- UMass ranks 85th in points per game (26.5), but it has been less effective on the defensive side of the ball, ranking second-worst in the FBS with 39.2 points surrendered per contest.
- From an offensive angle, UMass is generating 250.7 passing yards per contest (55th-ranked). It ranks 96th in the FBS on the other side of the ball (247.5 passing yards given up per game).
- UMass has been struggling against the run, ranking 11th-worst with 194.3 rushing yards given up per game. It has been more productive offensively, compiling 138.7 rushing yards per contest (90th-ranked).
- UMass is generating a 36% third-down conversion percentage on offense this season (96th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering a 39.7% third-down rate (75th-ranked) on defense.
- After forcing seven turnovers (54th in the FBS) and turning the ball over nine times (102nd in the FBS) this season, UMass owns the 93rd-ranked turnover margin of -2.
UMass’ Best Players
- Carlos Davis has recored 886 passing yards, or 147.7 per game, so far this season. He has completed 61.4% of his passes and has collected six touchdowns with three interceptions.
- Adams has rushed for 504 yards on 110 carries so far this year while scoring five times on the ground.
- Taisun Phommachanh has run for 95 yards across 31 attempts, scoring two touchdowns.
- Anthony Simpson’s 426 receiving yards (71 yards per game) are a team high. He has 26 receptions on 43 targets with two touchdowns.
- Mark Pope has racked up 252 receiving yards (42 yards per game) and one touchdown on 16 receptions.
- George Johnson’s 29 targets have resulted in 17 receptions for 202 yards and one touchdown.
- Billy Wooden paces the team with four sacks. He’s also the team’s tackle leader, and has racked up four TFL and 22 tackles.
- Isaiah Rutherford has a team-leading one interception to go along with five tackles and two passes defended.
