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Kimani Vidal will lead the Troy Trojans (3-2) into their matchup versus the Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-2) at Veterans Memorial Stadium on Saturday at 4:00 PM ET.
The Red Wolves are expected to lose by at least two touchdowns (currently +16) versus the Trojans (with an over/under of 51.5 points).
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Game Info for Troy vs. Arkansas State
- Game Day: Saturday, October 7, 2023
- Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Location: Troy, Alabama
- Stadium: Veterans Memorial Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | -16 | -110 | -110 | 51.5 | -110 | -110 | -808 | +549 |
Troy Pick Insights
- Troy has covered the spread once in four games this season.
- In Troy’s four games with a set total, one has hit the over (25%).
Troy Stats & Insights
- On the defensive side of the ball, Troy has been a top-25 unit, ranking 24th-best by surrendering only 302.6 yards per game. The offense ranks 53rd (415.4 yards per game).
- Troy is compiling 26 points per game on offense (87th in the FBS), and ranks 56th on the other side of the ball with 23.8 points allowed per game.
- Troy ranks 41st in pass offense (270.2 passing yards per game) and 41st in pass defense (209.4 passing yards allowed per game) this year.
- Defensively, Troy has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking 16th-best by allowing just 93.2 per game. The Trojans rank 81st on offense (145.2 rushing yards per game).
- From an offensive standpoint, Troy ranks 65th in the FBS with a 40.8% third-down conversion rate. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 59th in third-down percentage allowed (93.2).
- With seven forced turnovers (53rd in the FBS) against 11 turnovers committed (121st in the FBS), Troy’s -4 turnover margin is the 21st-worst in college football.
Troy’s Best Players
- Gunnar Watson has 1,302 yards passing for Troy, completing 61.2% of his passes and throwing nine touchdowns and four interceptions this season.
- The team’s top rusher, Vidal, has carried the ball 103 times for 590 yards (118 per game), scoring three times. He’s also caught nine passes for 133 yards and one touchdown.
- Damien Taylor has been handed the ball 17 times this year and racked up 97 yards (19.4 per game) with one touchdown.
- Jabre Barber has hauled in 21 receptions for 295 yards (59 yards per game) to lead the team so far this season. He’s found the end zone two times as a receiver.
- Chris Lewis has caught 12 passes for 244 yards (48.8 yards per game) and two touchdowns this year.
- Deshon Stoudemire’s 18 catches have yielded 205 yards.
- Javon Solomon has 3.5 sacks to pace the team, and also has two TFL and 13 tackles.
- Jayden McDonald, Troy’s top tackler, has 25 tackles and three TFL this year.
- Reddy Steward has picked off a team-high two passes. He also has 15 tackles, two TFL, and two passes defended to his name.
Arkansas State Betting Insights
- Arkansas State is 2-2-1 against the spread this year.
- Arkansas State has not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 16 points or more this season (0-2).
- Arkansas State games have hit the over in three out of five opportunities (60%).
Arkansas State Pick Insights
- Arkansas State has been struggling defensively, ranking 15th-worst with 434.4 total yards allowed per game. It has been more productive offensively, putting up 380.8 total yards per contest (77th-ranked).
- Arkansas State’s defense has been bottom-25 in scoring defense this season, surrendering 36.4 points per game, which ranks eighth-worst in the FBS. Offensively, it ranks 87th with 26 points per contest.
- Arkansas State’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit in pass defense this season, allowing 273.2 passing yards per game, which ranks 17th-worst in the FBS. On offense, it ranks 91st with 216.4 passing yards per contest.
- Arkansas State is generating 164.4 rushing yards per contest on offense this season (58th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 161.2 rushing yards per game (96th-ranked) on defense.
- Arkansas State’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit on third down this season, ceding a 45.2% third-down conversion percentage, which ranks 25th-worst in the FBS. On offense, it ranks 82nd with a 45.2% third-down rate.
- With three forced turnovers (117th in the FBS) and six turnovers committed (49th in the FBS) this season, Arkansas State ranks 103rd in the FBS with a turnover margin of -3.
Arkansas State’s Best Players
- Jaylen Raynor has thrown for 694 yards on 35-of-52 passing with 10 touchdowns and one interception this season. He has chipped on the ground, as well, with 189 yards and two rushing touchdowns.
- The team’s top rusher, Ja’Quez Cross, has carried the ball 49 times for 337 yards (67.4 per game) with three touchdowns.
- Courtney Jackson’s 274 receiving yards (54.8 yards per game) are best on his team. He has 14 catches on 20 targets with four touchdowns.
- Jeff Foreman has caught six passes and compiled 184 receiving yards (36.8 per game) with three touchdowns.
- Corey Rucker has racked up 128 reciving yards (25.6 ypg) this season.
- Blayne Toll has racked up two sacks to pace the team, while also picking up three TFL and six tackles.
- Javante Mackey, Arkansas State’s tackle leader, has 26 tackles, two TFL, and two sacks this year.
- Trevian Thomas has a team-high one interception to go along with 17 tackles and one pass defended.
