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Star runner Kimani Vidal and the Troy Trojans (3-2) play the Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-2) on Saturday at 4:00 PM ET at Veterans Memorial Stadium.
The Trojans are expected to come out on top by at least two touchdowns (currently -17) versus the Red Wolves. The over/under for this matchup is 53 points.
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Game Info for Troy vs. Arkansas State
- Game Day: Saturday, October 7, 2023
- Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Location: Troy, Alabama
- Stadium: Veterans Memorial Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | -17 | -110 | -110 | 53 | -110 | -110 | -845 | +566 |
Troy Pick Insights
- Troy is 1-3-0 against the spread this season.
- Out of Troy’s four games with a set total, one has hit the over (25%).
Troy Stats & Insights
- Troy ranks 53rd in total offense this season (415.4 yards per game), but has been playing really well on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 24th-best in the FBS with 415.4 yards allowed per game.
- Troy is compiling 26 points per game on offense (87th in the FBS), and ranks 56th defensively with 23.8 points allowed per game.
- Troy is putting up 270.2 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 41st in the FBS. The defense ranks 41st, surrendering 209.4 passing yards per game.
- Defensively, Troy has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking 16th-best by giving up only 93.2 per game. The Trojans rank 81st on offense (145.2 rushing yards per game).
- Troy is averaging a 40.8% third-down conversion rate offensively this season (65th in the FBS), and is surrendering a 37.3% third-down percentage (59th) on the other side of the ball.
- Troy has the 21st-worst turnover margin in college football at -4, forcing seven turnovers (53rd in the FBS) while turning it over 11 times (121st in the FBS).
Troy’s Best Players
- Gunnar Watson has recorded 1,302 yards (260.4 ypg) on 101-of-165 passing with nine touchdowns compared to four interceptions this season.
- Vidal has racked up 590 yards on 103 carries while finding paydirt three times. He’s also caught nine passes for 133 yards (26.6 per game) and one touchdown through the air.
- Damien Taylor has collected 97 yards on 17 carries, scoring one time.
- Jabre Barber’s 295 yards as a receiver pace the team. He’s been targeted 38 times and has registered 21 receptions and two touchdowns.
- Chris Lewis has caught 12 passes while averaging 48.8 yards per game and scoring two touchdowns.
- Deshon Stoudemire has a total of 205 receiving yards so far this year, hauling in 18 passes.
- Javon Solomon has 3.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has two TFL and 13 tackles.
- Troy’s tackle leader, Jayden McDonald, has 25 tackles and three TFL this year.
- Reddy Steward has picked off a team-leading two passes. He also has 15 tackles, two TFL, and two passes defended to his name.
Arkansas State Betting Insights
- Arkansas State has covered the spread twice in five opportunities this year.
- Arkansas State is winless against the spread (0-2) when playing as at least 17-point underdogs.
- Arkansas State has gone over in three of their five games with a set total (60%).
Arkansas State Pick Insights
- Arkansas State has not been getting things done defensively, ranking 15th-worst with 434.4 total yards given up per game. It has been better on the other side of the ball, putting up 380.8 total yards per contest (77th-ranked).
- Arkansas State ranks 87th in points per game (26), but it has been less effective on the defensive side of the ball, ranking eighth-worst in the FBS with 36.4 points surrendered per contest.
- Arkansas State ranks 91st in passing yards per game (216.4), but it has been worse on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 17th-worst in the FBS with 273.2 passing yards allowed per contest.
- From an offensive angle, Arkansas State is putting up 164.4 rushing yards per contest (58th-ranked). It ranks 96th in the FBS defensively (161.2 rushing yards allowed per game).
- Arkansas State’s defense has been bottom-25 on third down this season, surrendering a 45.2% third-down conversion percentage, which ranks 25th-worst in the FBS. On the offensive side of the ball, it ranks 82nd with a 45.2% third-down rate.
- Arkansas State has accumulated three forced turnovers (117th in the FBS) and committed six turnovers (49th in the FBS) this season for a -3 turnover margin that ranks 103rd in the FBS.
Arkansas State’s Best Players
- Jaylen Raynor has been a dual threat for Arkansas State this season. He has 694 passing yards (138.8 per game) while completing 67.3% of his passes. He’s tossed 10 touchdown passes and one interception this season. On the ground, he’s compiled 189 yards (37.8 ypg) on 36 carries with two rushing touchdowns.
- The team’s top rusher, Ja’Quez Cross, has carried the ball 49 times for 337 yards (67.4 per game) with three touchdowns.
- Courtney Jackson has collected 14 catches this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 274 (54.8 yards per game). He’s been targeted 20 times and has four touchdowns.
- Jeff Foreman has put up a 184-yard season so far with three touchdowns. He’s caught six passes on 15 targets.
- Corey Rucker’s 26 targets have resulted in nine catches for 128 yards.
- Blayne Toll paces the team with two sacks, and also has three TFL and six tackles.
- Javante Mackey, Arkansas State’s top tackler, has 26 tackles, two TFL, and two sacks this year.
- Trevian Thomas has a team-high one interception to go along with 17 tackles and one pass defended.
