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On Saturday at 3:30 PM ET, the Baylor Bears (1-3) will visit the UCF Knights (3-1).
The Bears are expected to lose by at least two scores (currently +11.5) versus the Knights (with an over/under of 55 points).
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Game Info for UCF vs. Baylor
- Game Day: Saturday, September 30, 2023
- Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
- Location: Orlando, Florida
- Stadium: FBC Mortgage Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | -11.5 | -110 | -110 | 55 | -110 | -110 | -438 | +335 |
UCF Pick Insights
- UCF is 2-2-0 against the spread this season.
- When it has played as at least 11.5-point favorites this season, UCF is 2-0 against the spread.
- The teams have hit the over in three of UCF’s four games with a set total.
UCF Stats & Insights
- UCF has the 58th-ranked defense this year (347 yards allowed per game), and has been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best with a tally of 565 yards per game.
- UCF ranks 44th in scoring defense this year (20 points allowed per game), but has been shining on offense, ranking 23rd-best in the FBS with 38.3 points per game.
- UCF ranks 34th in pass defense this year (188.8 passing yards allowed per game), but has been playing really well on the other side of the ball, ranking 15th-best in the FBS with 304.8 passing yards per game.
- UCF ranks 99th in run defense this season (158.3 rushing yards allowed per game), but has been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking third-best in the FBS with 260.3 rushing yards per game.
- UCF ranks 73rd in third-down defense this season (39.7% third-down conversion rate allowed), but has been shining on offense, ranking 20th-best in the FBS with a 50% third-down percentage.
- With four forced turnovers (97th in the FBS) against seven turnovers committed (88th in the FBS), UCF’s -3-3 turnover margin ranks 103rd in college football.
UCF’s Best Players
- Timmy McClain has recorded 638 yards (159.5 ypg) on 37-of-57 passing with five touchdowns compared to one interception this season. In addition, he’s added 80 rushing yards (20 ypg) on 23 carries.
- Johnny Richardson has 289 rushing yards on 39 carries.
- RJ Harvey has 156 yards as a receiver (39 per game) on seven catches with two touchdowns, while also racking up 70.8 rush yards per game and five touchdowns on the ground.
- Kobe Hudson has hauled in 20 catches for 463 yards (115.8 yards per game) to lead the team so far this season. He’s found the end zone two times as a receiver.
- Javon Baker has reeled in 14 passes while averaging 54.8 yards per game and scoring one touchdown.
- Tre’mon Morris-Brash has racked up three sacks to pace the team, while also recording seven TFL and 12 tackles.
- Lee Hunter is the team’s tackle leader this year. He’s amassed 24 tackles and one TFL.
- Corey Thornton has a team-high two interceptions to go along with 11 tackles and two passes defended.
Baylor Betting Insights
- Baylor has compiled a 0-2-1 record against the spread this season.
- Baylor is winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 11.5-point underdogs.
- Out of Baylor’s three games with a set total, one has hit the over (33.3%).
Baylor Pick Insights
- With 404.8 total yards per game on the offensive side of the ball, Baylor ranks 62nd in the FBS in 2023. On defense, it ranks 79th, giving up 376 total yards per game.
- Baylor’s offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, posting 20 points per game, which ranks 19th-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 83rd with 26.8 points allowed per contest.
- With 265 passing yards per game on offense, Baylor ranks 45th in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 49th, allowing 204.8 passing yards per game.
- Baylor is compiling 139.8 rushing yards per contest on offense this season (85th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 171.3 rushing yards per game (105th-ranked) on defense.
- In terms of third-down efficiency, Baylor ranks 100th in the FBS (36.1% third-down conversion rate) and 41st defensively (35.4% third-down rate allowed).
- Baylor owns a -1 turnover margin this season, which ranks 82nd in the FBS.
Baylor’s Best Players
- Sawyer Robertson leads Baylor with 647 yards on 48-of-97 passing with one touchdown compared to four interceptions this season.
- The team’s top rusher, Dominic Richardson, has carried the ball 36 times for 160 yards (40 per game).
- Dawson Pendergrass has run for 134 yards across 28 attempts, scoring one touchdown.
- Ketron Jackson Jr. leads his squad with 223 receiving yards on 13 receptions.
- Hal Presley has collected 172 receiving yards (43 yards per game) on 11 receptions.
- Drake Dabney’s 10 catches (on 17 targets) have netted him 147 yards (36.8 ypg) and three touchdowns.
- TJ Franklin has racked up two sacks to lead the team, while also picking up three TFL and 10 tackles.
- Matt Jones is the team’s tackle leader this year. He’s picked up 24 tackles, three TFL, and two sacks.
- Carl Williams IV has picked off a team-high one pass. He also has three tackles, one TFL, and one pass defended to his name.
