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On Saturday at 3:30 PM ET, the UCF Knights (3-1) will host the Baylor Bears (1-3).
The Bears are expected to lose by at least two scores (currently +11.5) versus the Knights (with an over/under of 55 points).
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Game Info for UCF vs. Baylor
- Game Day: Saturday, September 30, 2023
- Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
- Location: Orlando, Florida
- Stadium: FBC Mortgage Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | -11.5 | -110 | -110 | 55 | -110 | -110 | -452 | +340 |
UCF Pick Insights
- UCF is 2-2-0 against the spread this season.
- In games it has played as at least 11.5-point favorites this season, UCF is 2-0 against the spread.
- UCF has hit the over in three of its four games with a set total (75%).
UCF Stats & Insights
- On the offensive side of the ball, UCF has been a top-25 unit, ranking fourth-best in the FBS by putting up 565 yards per game. The defense ranks 58th (347 yards allowed per game).
- UCF ranks 44th in scoring defense this year (20 points allowed per game), but has been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking 23rd-best in the FBS with 38.3 points per game.
- On the offensive side of the ball, UCF has been a top-25 unit in terms of passing yards, ranking 15th-best in the FBS by putting up 304.8 per game. The Knights rank 34th on defense (188.8 passing yards allowed per game).
- UCF sports the 99th-ranked defense this year in terms of rushing yards (158.3 rushing yards allowed per game), and has been better offensively, ranking third-best with 260.3 rushing yards per game.
- On offense, UCF has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 20th-best in the FBS by putting up a 50% third-down conversion rate. The defense ranks 73rd on defense (39.7% third-down percentage allowed).
- With four forced turnovers (97th in the FBS) against seven turnovers committed (88th in the FBS), UCF (-3) has the 103rd-ranked turnover margin in college football.
UCF’s Best Players
- Timmy McClain has thrown for 638 yards (159.5 ypg) to lead UCF, completing 64.9% of his passes and tossing five touchdown passes compared to one interception this season. He’s also contributed in the ground game with 80 rushing yards on 23 carries.
- Johnny Richardson has racked up 289 yards on 39 carries.
- This season, RJ Harvey has carried the ball 52 times for 283 yards (70.8 per game) and five touchdowns, while also racking up 156 yards through the air with two touchdowns.
- Kobe Hudson’s 463 yards as a receiver lead the team. He’s been targeted 26 times and has totaled 20 catches and two touchdowns.
- Javon Baker has caught 14 passes for 219 yards (54.8 yards per game) and one touchdown this year.
- Tre’mon Morris-Brash paces the team with three sacks, and also has seven TFL and 12 tackles.
- Lee Hunter, UCF’s top tackler, has 24 tackles and one TFL this year.
- Corey Thornton has picked off a team-leading two passes. He also has 11 tackles and two passes defended to his name.
Baylor Betting Insights
- Baylor has put together a 0-2-1 record against the spread this season.
- Baylor is 0-1 against the spread when an underdog by 11.5 points or greater this year.
- In Baylor’s three games with a set total, one has hit the over (33.3%).
Baylor Pick Insights
- With 404.8 total yards per game on offense, Baylor ranks 62nd in the FBS in 2023. On defense, it ranks 79th, giving up 376 total yards per game.
- Baylor’s offense has been bottom-25 this season, registering 20 points per game, which ranks 19th-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 83rd with 26.8 points surrendered per contest.
- With 265 passing yards per game on offense, Baylor ranks 45th in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 49th, giving up 204.8 passing yards per contest.
- From an offensive perspective, Baylor is accumulating 139.8 rushing yards per contest (85th-ranked). It ranks 105th in the FBS defensively (171.3 rushing yards surrendered per game).
- With a 36.1% third-down conversion percentage on offense, Baylor ranks 100th in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 41st, surrendering a 35.4% third-down rate.
- At -1, Baylor has the 82nd-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with five forced turnovers (74th in the FBS) and six turnovers committed (69th in the FBS).
Baylor’s Best Players
- Sawyer Robertson has racked up 647 yards on 49.5% passing while tossing one touchdown pass with four interceptions this season.
- Dominic Richardson has rushed 36 times for 160 yards.
- Dawson Pendergrass has run for 134 yards across 28 attempts, scoring one touchdown.
- Ketron Jackson Jr. leads his team with 223 receiving yards on 13 receptions.
- Hal Presley has 11 receptions (on 20 targets) for a total of 172 yards (43 yards per game) this year.
- Drake Dabney has racked up 147 reciving yards (36.8 ypg) and three touchdowns this season.
- TJ Franklin has collected two sacks to lead the team, while also recording three TFL and 10 tackles.
- Matt Jones is the team’s tackle leader this year. He’s amassed 24 tackles, three TFL, and two sacks.
- Carl Williams IV has picked off a team-high one pass. He also has three tackles, one TFL, and one pass defended to his name.
