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The Miami Dolphins (3-0) visit the Buffalo Bills (2-1) on Sunday, October 1, 2023 at Highmark Stadium and will aim to continue a three-game winning streak.
The Bills ranked sixth in total defense last season (319.1 yards allowed per game), but they excelled on the other side of the ball, ranking second-best in the NFL with 397.6 total yards per game. The Dolphins compiled 364.5 yards per game on offense last season (sixth in NFL), and they ranked 18th defensively with 337.8 yards allowed per game.
Bills vs. Dolphins Picks
At the moment, 54.7% of Splash Inc. users are picking the Dolphins to upset the Bills, with 66.7% picking the Dolphins to cover the 3-point spread on Sunday.
Game Info: Bills vs. Dolphins
- Game Day: Sunday, October 1, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Orchard Park, New York
- Stadium: Highmark Stadium
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Before placing a wager on Sunday’s Buffalo-Miami spread (Buffalo -3) or total (53.5 points), take a look at the betting insights and trends below.
Game Trends for Bills
- The Bills compiled an 8-8-0 record against the spread last season.
- The Bills covered the spread six times last season (6-10 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
- A total of six of the Bills’ games last season hit the over.
Stats & Insights for Bills
- The Bills put up 4.9 more points per game (28.4) than the Dolphins surrendered (23.5) last season.
- The Bills were 8-4 against the spread and 11-1 overall last season when the team recorded over 23.5 points.
- Last year the Dolphins had a 7-5 record against the spread and a 7-5 record overall in games when they held opponents to less than 28.4 points.
- The Bills averaged 397.6 yards per game last year, 59.8 more yards than the 337.8 the Dolphins gave up per matchup.
- When the Bills piled up over 337.8 yards last season, the team was 7-5 against the spread and 10-2 overall.
- In games the Dolphins kept their opponents to less than 397.6 yards last year, they had a -7 record ATS and a – record overall.
- Last year the Bills averaged 139.5 yards per game on the ground, 36.5 more than the Dolphins allowed per outing (103).
- Last season the Bills had a 6-7 ATS record and a 10-3 overall record in games the team ran for over 103 yards.
- The Dolphins were -7 against the spread and – overall when holding opponents to less than 139.5 rushing yards last year.
- The Bills turned the ball over 27 times last year, 13 more turnovers than the Dolphins forced (14).
Best Players for Bills
- Josh Allen: 4,283 PASS YDS / 267.7 YPG / 63.3% / 35 TD / 14 INT / 124 CAR / 762 RUSH YDS / 7 TD
- Latavius Murray: 171 CAR / 760 YDS / 58.5 YPG / 6 TD / 27 REC / 132 YDS / 10.2 YPG / 0 TD
- Stefon Diggs: 108 REC / 1,429 YDS / 89.3 YPG / 11 TD
- Gabriel Davis: 48 REC / 836 YDS / 55.7 YPG / 7 TD
- Dawson Knox: 48 REC / 517 YDS / 34.5 YPG / 6 TD
- Matt Milano: 99 TKL / 12 TFL / 1.5 SACK / 3 INT / 11 PD
Game Trends for Dolphins
- Against the spread, the Dolphins were 9-8-0 last year.
- Against the spread, as underdogs of 3 points or more, the Dolphins went 5-3 last year.
- Last year, eight of the Dolphins’ 17 games went over the point total.
Stats & Insights for Dolphins
- Last year the Dolphins racked up 5.5 more points per game (23.4) than the Bills allowed (17.9).
- When the Dolphins put up over 17.9 points last season, they were 8-2 against the spread and 7-3 overall.
- When the Bills limited opponents to less than 23.4 points last year, they had a 8-5 record against the spread and a 11-2 record overall.
- The Dolphins racked up 45.4 more yards per game (364.5) than the Bills gave up per matchup (319.1) last season.
- When the Dolphins piled up more than 319.1 yards last year, the team was 6-5 against the spread and 6-5 overall.
- When the Bills held their opponents to fewer than 364.5 yards last year, they had a -5 record ATS and a – record overall.
- Last season the Dolphins rushed for just 5.4 fewer yards (99.2) than the Bills allowed per outing (104.6).
- Last year the Dolphins had a 4-2 ATS record and a 4-2 overall record in games the team rushed for over 104.6 yards.
- When the Bills kept their opponents to fewer than 99.2 yards on the ground last season, they were -3 against the spread and – overall.
- The Dolphins turned the ball over 21 times last season, six fewer times than the Bills forced turnovers (27).
Best Players for Dolphins
- Tua Tagovailoa: 3,548 PASS YDS / 272.9 YPG / 64.8% / 25 TD / 8 INT
- Raheem Mostert: 181 CAR / 891 YDS / 55.7 YPG / 3 TD / 31 REC / 202 YDS / 12.6 YPG / 2 TD
- Braxton Berrios: 9 CAR / 91 YDS / 5.4 YPG / 2 TD / 18 REC / 145 YDS / 8.5 YPG / 0 TD
- Tyreek Hill: 119 REC / 1,710 YDS / 100.6 YPG / 7 TD
- Jaylen Waddle: 75 REC / 1,356 YDS / 79.8 YPG / 8 TD
- Jerome Baker: 100 TKL / 6 TFL / 4 SACK / 4 PD
