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The UMass Minutemen (1-4) play on Saturday at 3:30 PM ET versus the Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-2) at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium.
The Minutemen are small favorites (-1) in their matchup versus the Red Wolves, with the over/under being 55.5 points. (On the moneyline, the Minutemen are -114 and the Red Wolves are -106.)
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Game Info for UMass vs. Arkansas State
- Game Day: Saturday, September 30, 2023
- Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Location: Amherst, Massachusetts
- Stadium: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass | -1 | -109 | -111 | 55.5 | -110 | -110 | -114 | -106 |
UMass Pick Insights
- UMass has covered the spread twice in five games this season.
- UMass has not yet covered the spread as favorites of 1 point or more this season (0-1).
- Four of UMass’ five games with a set total have hit the over (80%).
UMass Stats & Insights
- Despite having a bottom-25 defense that ranks 23rd-worst in the FBS (419 yards allowed per game), UMass has played better offensively, ranking 73rd in the FBS offensively totaling 391 yards per game.
- UMass sports the 83rd-ranked scoring offense this year (26.2 points per game), and has been less effective on defense, ranking 11th-worst with 36.6 points allowed per game.
- UMass is averaging 247 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 57th in the FBS. The defense ranks 63rd, giving up 220.4 passing yards per game.
- UMass has the 79th-ranked rushing offense this year (144 rushing yards per game), and has been worse defensively, ranking 16th-worst with 198.6 rushing yards allowed per game.
- UMass is averaging a 35.5% third-down percentage offensively this year (106th in the FBS), and is allowing a 35.4% third-down percentage (41st) on defense.
- UMass has forced seven total turnovers (33rd in the FBS) this season and have turned it over eight times (105th in the FBS) for -1a turnover margin of -1, 82nd-ranked in college football.
UMass’ Best Players
- Carlos Davis has 886 pass yards for UMass, completing 61.4% of his passes and tossing six touchdowns and three interceptions this season.
- Kay’Ron Adams has racked up 463 yards on 97 carries while finding the end zone four times as a runner.
- Taisun Phommachanh has been handed the ball 25 times this year and racked up 130 yards (26 per game) with two touchdowns.
- Anthony Simpson’s 393 yards as a receiver pace the team. He’s been targeted 33 times and has collected 19 receptions and two touchdowns.
- George Johnson has grabbed 15 passes while averaging 33.6 yards per game and scoring one touchdown.
- Mark Pope has been the target of 17 passes and racked up 10 receptions for 167 yards, an average of 33.4 yards per contest. He’s found the end zone one time through the air this season.
- Billy Wooden, the team’s tackle and sacks leader, has recorded four sacks, four TFL and 18 tackles.
- Michael Oppong leads the team with one interception, while also collecting six tackles and one pass defended.
Arkansas State Betting Insights
- Arkansas State has covered the spread once in four games this year.
- Arkansas State is 1-2 against the spread when an underdog by 1 point or more this year.
- Arkansas State hase gone over in two of four games with a set total (50%).
Arkansas State Pick Insights
- Arkansas State’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit in total defense this season, ceding 447.8 total yards per game, which ranks 10th-worst. On offense, it ranks 103rd with 337 total yards per contest.
- Arkansas State has lots of room to improve, as it ranks 17th-worst in points per game (19.5) this season and eighth-worst in points allowed per game (38.5).
- Arkansas State has been unproductive on both offense and defense in terms of passing this season, ranking 22nd-worst in passing yards (174.8 per game) and 18th-worst in passing yards allowed (274.3 per game).
- With 162.3 rushing yards per game on offense, Arkansas State ranks 60th in the FBS. On defense it ranks 107th, surrendering 173.5 rushing yards per contest.
- Arkansas State has been struggling on third down, ranking 22nd-worst with a 46.7% third-down conversion rate allowed per game. It has been better on offense, regstering a 35.2% third-down rate (108th-ranked).
- Arkansas State sports a bottom-25 turnover margin this season, 22nd-worst at -4.
Arkansas State’s Best Players
- Ja’Quez Cross is his team’s leading rusher with 38 carries for 289 yards, or 72.3 per game. He’s found the end zone two times on the ground, as well.
- Courtney Jackson’s 199 receiving yards (49.8 yards per game) are best on his team. He has 10 catches on 15 targets with three touchdowns.
- Corey Rucker has eight receptions (on 23 targets) for a total of 123 yards (30.8 yards per game) this year.
- Jeff Foreman’s 13 targets have resulted in four receptions for 119 yards and one touchdown.
- Tim Hardiman has 1.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has two TFL and seven tackles.
- Melique Straker has 20 tackles and one interception, and leads the team in both tackles and interceptions.
