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The Miami Dolphins (1-0) face a fellow AFC East opponent when they visit the New England Patriots (0-1) on Sunday, September 17, 2023 at Gillette Stadium.
The Dolphins ranked sixth in total offense (364.5 yards per game) and 18th in total defense (337.8 yards allowed per game) last season. The Patriots totaled 21.4 points per game offensively last year (17th in NFL), and they surrendered 20.4 points per game (10th) on the defensive side of the ball.
Dolphins vs. Patriots Picks
A majority of Splash Inc. users have picked the Patriots to win as underdogs against the Dolphins on Sunday (18.3% of users), while 74.2% think the Dolphins will cover the spread as 3-point favorites.
Game Info: Dolphins vs. Patriots
- Game Day: Sunday, September 17, 2023
- Game Time: 8:20 PM ET
- TV Channel: NBC
- Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
- Stadium: Gillette Stadium
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Take a look at the betting trends and insights below before making a bet on Sunday’s Miami-New England spread (Miami -3) or over/under (46.5 points).
Game Trends for Dolphins
- The Dolphins put together a 9-8-0 ATS record last year.
- When playing as at least 3-point favorites last season, the Dolphins had an ATS record of 5-5.
- Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total eight times in Dolphins games.
Stats & Insights for Dolphins
- The Dolphins racked up 23.4 points per game last year, three more than the Patriots surrendered per outing (20.4).
- The Dolphins were 7-1 against the spread and 6-2 overall last season when the team recorded over 20.4 points.
- The Patriots had a 6-3-1 record against the spread and a 8-2 record overall in games when they allowed opponents to score less than 23.4 points last year.
- The Dolphins averaged 364.5 yards per game last year, 42.5 more yards than the 322 the Patriots allowed per outing.
- When the Dolphins amassed more than 322 yards last season, the team was 6-5 against the spread and 6-5 overall.
- In games the Patriots limited their opponents to less than 364.5 yards last year, they had a -6-1 record ATS and a – record overall.
- The Dolphins rushed for 99.2 yards per game last season, just 6.3 fewer yards than the 105.5 the Patriots allowed per contest.
- Last year the Dolphins had a 4-2 ATS record and a 4-2 overall record in games the team rushed for over 105.5 yards.
- Last season, the Patriots were -6-1 against the spread and – overall when holding opponents to less than 99.2 rushing yards.
- The Dolphins turned the ball over 21 times last year, nine fewer than the Patriots forced turnovers (30).
Best Players for Dolphins
- Tua Tagovailoa: 3,548 PASS YDS / 272.9 YPG / 64.8% / 25 TD / 8 INT
- Raheem Mostert: 181 CAR / 891 YDS / 55.7 YPG / 3 TD / 31 REC / 202 YDS / 12.6 YPG / 2 TD
- Braxton Berrios: 9 CAR / 91 YDS / 5.4 YPG / 2 TD / 18 REC / 145 YDS / 8.5 YPG / 0 TD
- Tyreek Hill: 119 REC / 1,710 YDS / 100.6 YPG / 7 TD
- Jaylen Waddle: 75 REC / 1,356 YDS / 79.8 YPG / 8 TD
- Jerome Baker: 100 TKL / 6 TFL / 4 SACK / 4 PD
Game Trends for Patriots
- The Patriots had seven wins in 17 games against the spread last season.
- The Patriots won once ATS (1-4) as underdogs of 3 points or more last season.
- In 17 Patriots games last season, eight of them hit the over.
Stats & Insights for Patriots
- The Patriots scored just 2.1 fewer points per game (21.4) than the Dolphins surrendered (23.5) last year.
- When the Patriots scored over 23.5 points last season, they were 5-3 against the spread and 4-4 overall.
- Last year the Dolphins had a 5-1 record against the spread and a 6-0 record overall in games when they held opponents to fewer than 21.4 points.
- The Patriots racked up 23.2 fewer yards per game (314.6) than the Dolphins allowed (337.8) per matchup last year.
- In games that the Patriots piled up over 337.8 yards last year, the team was 2-3-1 against the spread and 3-3 overall.
- In games the Dolphins limited their opponents to less than 314.6 yards last season, they had a -2 record ATS and a – record overall.
- Last year the Patriots ran for just 3.6 more yards (106.6) than the Dolphins allowed per outing (103).
- When the Patriots ran for over 103 yards last season they compiled a 3-3-1 ATS record and a 3-4 overall record.
- Last year, the Dolphins were -5 against the spread and – overall when holding opponents to less than 106.6 rushing yards.
- Last season the Patriots turned the ball over 23 times, nine more than the Dolphins’ takeaways (14).
Best Players for Patriots
- Mac Jones: 2,997 PASS YDS / 214.1 YPG / 65.2% / 14 TD / 11 INT
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 210 CAR / 1,040 YDS / 61.2 YPG / 5 TD / 69 REC / 421 YDS / 24.8 YPG / 1 TD
- Ezekiel Elliott: 231 CAR / 876 YDS / 58.4 YPG / 12 TD / 17 REC / 92 YDS / 6.1 YPG / 0 TD
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 78 REC / 933 YDS / 58.3 YPG / 3 TD
- DeVante Parker: 31 REC / 539 YDS / 44.9 YPG / 3 TD
- Hunter Henry: 41 REC / 509 YDS / 31.8 YPG / 2 TD
- Ja’Whaun Bentley: 122 TKL / 5 TFL / 3 SACK / 1 INT / 2 PD
