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How can Rodgers be traded elsewhere and where could he go?
Maybe Aaron Rodgers to the New York Jets isn’t a done deal.
With a few weeks remaining until the NFL Draft, the star quarterback remains on the Green Bay Packers roster, despite declaring his ‘intention’ to play for the Jets. Perhaps the deal isn’t as ‘done’ as we have been made to believe.
To be very clear, Rodgers is NOT going back to Green Bay — that ship has sailed. That said, who else other than the Jets could Rodgers realistically be traded to and what is his true market value, right now? Let’s set a few guidelines to frame the discussion.
1. The Packers Won’t Trade Aaron Rodgers to an NFC Team
General Manager Brian Gutekunst and the Green Bay Packers brass are smart. Smart people don’t trade a future HoF quarterback to a conference rival. That said, Aaron Rodgers is not going to an NFC team. Why? Simply put, the Packers are not ‘out of it’ based on Rodgers’s departure.
Their running game is good, the defense is improving, and the return game was much improved in ‘22. Under Jordan Love, this is still a team that can compete for a playoff spot in the NFC in ‘23. But no way you put yourself in a position where he may have to face Rodgers in a playoff game unless it’s the Super Bowl.
This guideline eliminates the QB-needy Carolina Panthers, Atlanta Falcons, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, San Francisco 49ers, and others. With this in hand, we turn to what the Packers will require in return for Rodgers.
2. The Money Offered Must Be at Least What NYJ Agreed To
Rodgers’ contract to be absorbed in 2023 is $59,515,000, with another $49,300,000 due in 2024. Rodgers will count $15.8 million against the Jets’ cap this year if they absorb the lot, but NYJ can rework the deal to lower that cost, according to Tom Silverstein of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
The most logical rework may be a two-year deal that can be back-end-loaded based on Rodgers returning to his new team for the ‘24 – ‘25 NFL season. Rodgers could do this deal to help his new club out. The question is, will he? Either way, the draft compensation has to be right for the Packers.
3. The Packers Will Demand Two Second-Round Draft Picks ASAP
At age 39, quarterback Aaron Rodgers is not worth a first-round pick. The most guaranteed compensation the Packers should hope to receive in a trade package is two second-rounders; they will want them sooner rather than later.
That means two second-rounders in ‘23, ideally. Option B is a second-rounder this year and another guaranteed next. On the spreadsheet, that’s about equivalent to mid-first round value overall, which would be a moral victory for Green Bay brass.
As mentioned above, the Packers are not out of contention in ‘23, aka this is a re-load, not a rebuild. More firepower in the top two rounds this year and next will help accelerate that rebuild and heal the wounds of a Rodgers departure sooner for the Packers organization and fans.
4. The Packers Want a Proven Player Over a Conditional Pick
The final element in the Rodgers trade equation is rumored to be a conditional pick that slides up based on Rodger’s performance in ‘23 and/or a ‘24 return. But I think, rather than a ‘maybe’ pick in ‘24 or ‘25, the Packers will want to acquire a proven player, right now.
So that’s guideline #4: The Packers get a player that can start or be a key sub as part of the deal for Rodgers. Who that player is comes down to the Packers’ trading partner and their own ability to carve suited personnel out of position groups that the Packers covet.
Apply all the guidelines and that leaves us with one burning question: Where could Aaron Rodgers actually be traded, and under what circumstances?
Which Teams Are in the Running For Aaron Rodgers?
Sticking with a trade package that involves teams in the AFC that a) need a QB, b) have at least two second-rounders between this season and next, and c) have both the money to pay Rodgers and a relevant player to swap, we boil things down to a few candidates outside New Jersey.
The AFC West seems pretty set. In the AFC East, the New England Patriots jump out. The Pats can afford to trade the #46 overall, holding three 4th-rounders and three 6th-rounders in ‘23 to trade back up in the draft. The Pats also have a few players the Packers may want in return at DL, Edge, and on the O-Line. I don’t see Mac Jones in GB.
In the AFC South, the Tennessee Titans look like an option. The Titans hold the #41 pick overall in the second round and are looking to move on from Ryan Tannehill. As part of the package and on a reduced contract, Tannehill would make an intriguing option as a veteran backup for Jordan Love to learn from.
In the AFC North, the best possibility would seem to be the Pittsburgh Steelers (Rodgers to the Ravens ain’t happening). The Steelers own both the #32 and #49 overall in the second round, which would be more than enough to secure Rodgers’ services. The Steelers could also offer one of their young QBs in the trade, or dangle a safety, such as Damontae Kazee, or Tre Norwood
Where Will Aaron Rodgers Be Traded To?
Probably the New York Jets. Why? Entering into franchise-altering deals is complex stuff; the lawyers and bean counters get involved early. Good faith still means something and the Packers and Jets have started a process. Odds are, they finish it.
Plus, the Jets have two second-rounders to play with this year. Whether Rodgers is ‘intending’ to play beyond ’23 is probably the lynchpin to the deal. Manage some risk out of that, and the deal looks much sweeter for the Jets. That said, let’s play devil’s advocate and speculate where else Rodgers could realistically go.
Based on all the above, I like the Titans.
Tennessee is a team that can compete in the playoffs now with a top QB in place. They have both the required picks and roster capital, and can yet make moves to absorb Rodgers’ salary if he’ll rework a deal. They also have Ryan Tannehill to throw into the mix, which solves a serious roster issue for Green Bay.
I could see a trade package featuring the Titan’s #49 this year, a second next year, and Tannehill for Rodgers and a Green Bay fourth to sixth-rounder.
If the New York Jets let this situation go on much longer, the Packers will start to look closely at other trade offers. Expect things to heat up as we get closer to the end of April; I think a deal will be done before Day 1 of the 2023 NFL Draft is over.
NFL FAQs
How do you play football survival pool?
Players pick one team each week they think will win the game outright. They may only pick a team ONCE per season, meaning you can't pick the same team twice in one season. If their pick is correct, the player survives another week and continues to play. An incorrect pick eliminates the player from the contest entirely. This is sometimes called an elimination or suicide pool. The last person standing wins.
How to make a football pool?
A football pool generally requires the creation of a shareable spreadsheet (like Google Sheets) so that members may pick teams. Then depending on the game type, creators must use several kinds of formulas (e.g. CountIF), data validation, and conditional formatting. Or, you can just use football pool hosting service like RunYourPool where we do all the work for you!
How to run a weekly football pool?
In order to run a football pool, you must first crown yourself as Pool Commissioner. Begin by picking a game type like Survivor or Pick'Em. You'll want to establish rules before inviting friends, family, and colleagues to join. As commissioner, you make the rules and also need to enforce them equally and fairly.
What is a football survivor pool?
In a Football Survivor Pool, players choose one team weekly they think will win. Usually, a team can be picked one time per season. Picks are made "straight up," no spreads necessary. If a pick is correct, members survive another week. An incorrect pick eliminates the player, unless a mulligan is used.
How does a football pool work?
Football pools are games of skill played among a group of people. There are a variety of pool types to fit every players needs, from casual to competitive. Pool commissioners can set up pools manually, or use a hosting service like RunYourPool whiel still customizing your own settings. Some examples include NFL Squares, NFL Survivor, NFL Pick 'Em, and Playoff Brackets.
What is an NFL pickem pool?
In an NFL pick’em pool, simply pick the outcome of each NFL game throughout the season. You can pick straight up winners or losers, or pick each game against the spread.
How to play a football pool?
The way one plays a football pool varies on the game type. For example, in Survivor, you pick one team to win each week and can't pick that team again. Guess wrong and you lose. Another example is Pick'em Pools in which you simply pick every game each week.
How does a fantasy football pool work?
Fantasy football pools don’t involve a traditional fantasy football draft. You can have as many members in your pool as you’d like, meaning no more 12 or 14 team limits! You pick a new lineup of players each week, and once you use a player once, you can’t use them again for the rest of the season.
What is a fantasy football pool?
A fantasy football pool is similar to a traditional fantasy football league but without the draft. Pick a new lineup each week, and once you use a player, you can’t use them for the rest of the season. Your players will receive points based on their in-game stats, and the member with the most points at the end of the season is the winner.
What is a football pool?
"Football Pool" is a broad term for a group of people competitively guessing the outcome of one or more football games. There are many types of formats, each assigning winners differently. They can be played informally between friends or through a more formalized system. They are often considered a great alternative to fantasy football given the ease of playing, although there are fantasy football pools as well.
How do football pool squares work?
There are different kinds of football square pools. Most have a 10x10 grid with one team for the rows and columns. In an attempt to win, participants select a square where they believe the last digit number of each team's score will intersect at the end of each quarter, and the game's end.
How do you play football squares pools?
To play a football squares pool, you're going to want to pick the squares with the best odds. As winners are determined by the point totals at the end of each quarter, try to consider options where scores are most common. Some of the most popular squares include 7-3, 7-0, 7-7, and 0-0. Numbers divisible by seven are good starting points.
How many squares in a football pool?
In a traditional football squares pool, a grid is sectioned off into 100 squares with 10 columns and 10 rows. This accounts for a direct relationship between each possible digit from 0 to 9 on both the X and Y axis. For smaller square grids like 5x5, multiple numbers can be assigned to each column and row.
How to play squares football pools?
Football squares are played by creating a grid, in which Team 1 takes the column and Team 2 the rows. In some cases, participants may claim as many squares as they like. In others, commissioners limit them to one. At the quarter times and end of the game, the winner is decided at the point the scores final digit intersect.
What is a football squares pool?
Also called Grid, Block, or Box Pools, Football Squares Pools can be played with any single game, but are most popular during the Super Bowl. Pool members claim squares on a 25, 50, or 100-square grid by putting their information in the square. Game scores are matched to the winning square(s), usually with winners being determined every quarter.
How to read a football pool sheet?
In Squares formats, football pool sheets include a grid, where one team is the column and one is the row. Winners are determined at the end of each quarter when the last number in the team’s score (on each side) is matched to the numbers on the grid, and the intersecting square wins.
How do you play football credits pool?
In the credits format, all players start with the same number of credits. Players make picks each week by risking a certain number of credits on games, assigning more credits to the picks with a higher confidence level. Members receive double the credits risked for each win. The member with the most credits at the end of the season wins.
What is a football credits pool?
In Football Credits Pools, players start with the same number of credits. They then make picks each week by risking a number of credits on games, assigning more to the picks they have more confidence in getting right. Members double credits risked for each win. The member with the highest credits at the end of the season wins.
How to run a football pool?
How you decide to run a football pool varies greatly depending on the game type. In each case, however, you'll want to determine the rules and settings before you begin inviting members to join you. You'll want to clearly establish how score will be kept, how tiebreakers work, and how winners are decided before anything else.
How do you play football confidence pool?
A football confidence pool is played straight up, not with a point spread. Not only do members pick the winning teams, they must back up their picks by giving them a relative confidence ranking. Your score reflects the number of confidence points given to winning teams. So if your confidence for a team winning is '1', then you can only win one point at most. If your confidence for a team winning is '5', then you can win five points for a win. The member with the most credits at the end wins.
What is a football confidence pool?
"Football Confidence Pool" refers to how you rank the teams that you think will win each week. For example, in the NFL, there are often 16 games weekly. In this scenario, you would rank each game from 16 to 1, based on the your confidence in that team winning.
How do you play football margin pool?
Margin pools are an NFL pool format that rewards members for picking a winning team each week. Pool commissioners can decide whether they award points equal to a winning teams margin of victory or the point spread for that game. When a commissioner chooses the point spread option, this format is often referred to as an NFL Underdog Pool.
What is a football margin pool?
In a Football Margin Pool, you are awarded points for picking a winning team. Pool commissioners get to decide whether they award points equal to a winning teams margin of victory or the point spread for that game. The player with the most points at the end of the season wins.
How do you play football 33 point pool?
The football 33 pool format is a casual pool where members are each assigned an NFL team (these pools are 32 members max, as there are 32 NFL teams). Members win when their team scores 33 points. Options for changing the target score, or having the closest to the target win each week is also available.
What is a football 33 point pool?
In the football 33 pool format, each member is assigned a unique NFL team (32 members max). A member will win when their team scores 33 points. This is a casual pool where you can change the target score or the option to have the closest to the target that week win.
How to run a weekly football pool?
In order to run a football pool, you must first crown yourself as Pool Commissioner. Begin by picking a game type like Survivor or Pick'Em. You'll want to establish rules before inviting friends, family, and colleagues to join. As commissioner, you make the rules and also need to enforce them equally and fairly.
What is an NFL Playoff bracket pool?
NFL Playoff Bracket pools are simple NFL pool formats where members pick every round of the playoffs before they start in an attempt to predict every match up correctly. It's optional to configure a multiplier for each round, or add a tiebreaker option of total points in the Super Bowl.
How to make a football pool?
A football pool generally requires the creation of a shareable spreadsheet (like Google Sheets) so that members may pick teams. Then depending on the game type, creators must use several kinds of formulas (e.g. CountIF), data validation, and conditional formatting. Or, you can just use football pool hosting service like RunYourPool where we do all the work for you!
How to set up a football pool?
To set up a football pool, you'll need to first choose a pool type like Survivor or Pick'em. Then, you'll need to set the ground rules. As pool commissioner, you'll enforce these rules and make sure the game runs smoothly throughout the season. Many commissioners use pool hosting sites like RunYourPool to make it easier and more engaging.
What is a football power ranking playoff pool?
In a power ranking playoff pool, members rank all 12 NFL teams competing in the playoffs from strongest (12 points) to weakest (1 point). Picks are made only ONCE before any games begin. Members are awarded the number of points assigned to a team when they win. Commissioners can optionally set up a point multiplier for each playoff round.
What is a football confidence pool?
"Football Confidence Pool" refers to how you rank the teams that you think will win each week. For example, in the NFL, there are often 16 games weekly. In this scenario, you would rank each game from 16 to 1, based on the your confidence in that team winning. This is similar to the Playoff Pool Power Ranking, just less teams.
How to run a football pool?
How you decide to run a football pool varies greatly depending on the game type. In each case, however, you'll want to determine the rules and settings before you begin inviting members to join you. You'll want to clearly establish how score will be kept, how tiebreakers work, and how winners are decided before anything else.
What is a football playoff precision pool?
In a playoff precision pool, members attempt to pick the winner of every playoff game each week. You can decide if it’s straight up or on a point spread picks, but point totals are also added. Points are awarded for correct picks AND for how close to the correct combined point total they were.
How to read a football pool sheet?
In Squares formats, football pool sheets include a grid, where one team is the column and one is the row. Winners are determined at the end of each quarter when the last number in the team’s score (on each side) is matched to the numbers on the grid, and the intersecting square wins.
What is a Super Bowl Prop Bets Pool?
A Super Bowl Prop Bet Pool is a fun and thrilling way to compete against friends and family during the big game! It's a simple questionaire of prop betting questions revolving around the Super Bowl, and whoever earns the most points based off correct answers wins!
How does a Super Bowl Prop Bets Pool work?
Pool members simply fill out a wide range of prop questions, each question worth a different value. Commissioners decide on the point value for each question, along with the amount of questions. Whichever member earns the most points based on corret answers wins the pool.
What is a football Super Bowl Squares pool?
Also called Grid, Block, or Box Pools, Football Squares Pools can be played with any single game, but are most popular during the Super Bowl. Pool members claim squares on a 25, 50, or 100-square grid by putting their information in the square. Game scores are matched to the winning square(s), usually with winners being determined every quarter.
What is a prop bet?
Prop bets are any sort of pick or wager on a game that has nothing to do with the score or the final score outcome. Props can range from game types, to team types and even player types - such as who will score the game's first and last touchdowns? Other props, such as novelty or exotic, feature bets on things such as the coin flip or the Super Bowl Halftime Show.
How to read a football pool sheet?
In Squares formats, football pool sheets include a grid, where one team is the column and one is the row. Winners are determined at the end of each quarter when the last number in the team’s score (on each side) is matched to the numbers on the grid, and the intersecting square wins.
