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The Miami Dolphins (8-7) take a four-game losing streak into a matchup with the New England Patriots (7-8) on Sunday, January 1, 2023 at Gillette Stadium.
On defense, the Patriots have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best by giving up just 19.4 points per game. They rank 16th on offense (21.2 points per game). With 24.3 points per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Dolphins rank ninth in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 27th, surrendering 24.7 points per contest.
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Patriots vs. Dolphins Picks
Currently, 67.0% of BetterPool users are picking the Dolphins to upset the Patriots, with 100.0% picking the Dolphins to cover the 2.5-point spread on Sunday.
For all your best pick data from America’s #1 independent pool site, head here.
Game Info: Patriots vs. Dolphins
- Game Day: Sunday, January 1, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
- Stadium: Gillette Stadium
Take a look at some betting insights for New England (-2.5) versus Miami on Sunday. The over/under is set at 42.5 points for this game.
Betting Insights for Patriots
- The Patriots are 7-7-1 ATS this season.
- The Patriots are 5-1-1 against the spread when favored by 2.5 points or more this season.
- Patriots games with a set total have hit the over six times this season (40%).
Stats & Insights for Patriots
- The Patriots are totaling 317.2 yards per game on offense (25th in NFL), and they rank eighth on the other side of the ball with 320.9 yards allowed per game.
- Defensively, the Patriots have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best by giving up just 19.4 points per game. They rank 16th on offense (21.2 points per game).
- The Patriots are averaging 208.6 passing yards per game on offense (22nd in the NFL), and they rank 14th defensively with 213.1 passing yards allowed per game.
- The Patriots rank 22nd in run offense (108.6 rushing yards per game) and ninth in run defense (107.8 rushing yards allowed per game) this season.
- The Patriots are putting up a 34.9% third-down conversion rate on offense, which ranks them 27th in the NFL. On defense, they rank 20th, surrendering a 40% third-down percentage.
- This season, the Patriots are gaining 5.6 yards per play on offense (17th in the league), while featuring the fourth-best yards per play on defense in the NFL (5.3).
- The Patriots have forced 25 total turnovers (second in NFL) this season and have turned it over 20 times (19th in NFL) for a turnover margin of +5, seventh-ranked in the NFL.
Best Players for Patriots
- Mac Jones: 2,550 PASS YDS / 212.5 YPG / 65.6% / 9 TD / 8 INT
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 196 CAR / 944 YDS / 62.9 YPG / 5 TD / 62 REC / 384 YDS / 25.6 YPG / 1 TD
- Damien Harris: 84 CAR / 383 YDS / 42.6 YPG / 3 TD / 13 REC / 75 YDS / 8.3 YPG / 0 TD
- Jakobi Meyers: 58 REC / 723 YDS / 60.3 YPG / 4 TD
- DeVante Parker: 25 REC / 460 YDS / 38.3 YPG / 1 TD
- Hunter Henry: 30 REC / 415 YDS / 27.7 YPG / 2 TD
- Matthew Judon: 55 TKL / 13 TFL / 15.5 SACK / 3 PD
- Ja’Whaun Bentley: 106 TKL / 4 TFL / 3 SACK / 1 INT / 2 PD
- Jonathan Jones: 58 TKL / 3 INT / 9 PD
Betting Insights for Dolphins
- So far this season, the Dolphins have compiled an 8-8-0 record against the spread.
- The Dolphins have a 4-3 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 2.5 points or more.
- In the Dolphins’ 16 games with a set total, seven have hit the over (43.8%).
Stats & Insights for Dolphins
- The Dolphins’ offense has been leading the charge for the team, as they rank fifth-best in the NFL with 370.8 total yards per contest. In terms of defense, they are allowing 353.8 total yards per game, which ranks 20th.
- With 24.3 points per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Dolphins rank ninth in the NFL. On defense, they rank 27th, giving up 24.7 points per game.
- While the Dolphins’ pass defense has had trouble stopping opposing offenses, ranking fifth-worst by surrendering 244.7 passing yards per game, their offense ranks second-best with 274.9 passing yards per contest.
- With 95.9 rushing yards per game on offense, the Dolphins rank 27th in the NFL. Defensively they rank 10th, allowing 109.1 rushing yards per game.
- The Dolphins rank 22nd in the NFL with a 37.3% third-down conversion percentage on offense, and 25th with a 41.7% third-down percentage allowed on the defensive side of the ball.
- The Dolphins’ offense has been thriving in terms of yards per play, putting up 6.6 (best) this season. On defense, they rank 15th by surrendering 5.7 yards per play.
- The Dolphins have forced 14 turnovers this season and have turned the ball over 19 times, leading to a -5 turnover margin that is fifth-worst in the NFL.
Best Players for Dolphins
- Tua Tagovailoa: 3,548 PASS YDS / 272.9 YPG / 64.8% / 25 TD / 8 INT
- Raheem Mostert: 161 CAR / 791 YDS / 56.5 YPG / 3 TD / 21 REC / 150 YDS / 10.7 YPG / 1 TD
- Jeff Wilson Jr.: 145 CAR / 743 YDS / 53.1 YPG / 5 TD / 17 REC / 152 YDS / 10.9 YPG / 1 TD
- Tyreek Hill: 113 REC / 1,632 YDS / 108.8 YPG / 7 TD
- Jaylen Waddle: 67 REC / 1,260 YDS / 84 YPG / 8 TD
- Trent Sherfield: 28 REC / 387 YDS / 25.8 YPG / 2 TD
- Bradley Chubb: 39 TKL / 5 TFL / 8 SACK / 1 PD
- Jerome Baker: 93 TKL / 6 TFL / 4 SACK / 3 PD
- Jevon Holland: 78 TKL / 1 TFL / 1.5 SACK / 2 INT / 6 PD
