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The Miami Dolphins (8-6) host the Green Bay Packers (6-8) on Sunday, December 25, 2022 at Hard Rock Stadium and will look to break a three-game losing streak.
The Dolphins own the 23rd-ranked defense this season (357.6 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been better on offense, ranking fifth-best with 370.4 yards per game. From an offensive standpoint, the Packers are generating 345.6 total yards per contest (15th-ranked). They rank 15th in the NFL defensively (334 total yards surrendered per game).
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Dolphins vs. Packers Picks
A majority of BetterPool users are picking the Packers to win as underdogs against the Dolphins on Sunday (13.8% of users), while 62.5% think the Dolphins will cover the spread as 4-point favorites.
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Game Info: Dolphins vs. Packers
- Game Day: Sunday, December 25, 2022
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
- Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
Read these betting insights and trends before you wager on Sunday’s Miami-Green Bay spread (Miami -4) or total (49.5 points).
Betting Insights for Dolphins
- So far this season, the Dolphins have compiled an 8-7-0 record against the spread.
- The Dolphins have a 1-2 record against the spread when favored by 4 points or more this season.
- The Dolphins have hit the over in seven of its 15 games with a set total (46.7%).
Stats & Insights for Dolphins
- The Dolphins rank 23rd in total defense this year (357.6 yards allowed per game), but they’ve been thriving on the offensive side of the ball, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with 370.4 total yards per game.
- The Dolphins are putting up 24.6 points per game on offense this season (ninth in NFL), and they are allowing 24.6 points per game (26th) on the defensive side of the ball.
- The Dolphins have the 27th-ranked defense this year in terms of passing yards (246.3 allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective offensively, ranking third-best with 273.6 passing yards per game.
- The Dolphins are averaging 96.9 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 27th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 10th, allowing 111.3 rushing yards per game.
- The Dolphins are averaging a 37.7% third-down conversion rate offensively this year (21st in NFL), and they are surrendering a 43.7% third-down percentage (27th) on the defensive side of the ball.
- The Dolphins sport the 17th-ranked defense this year in terms of yards per play (5.8 yards per play allowed), and they’ve been better on the other side of the ball, ranking second-best with 6.5 yards per play.
- The Dolphins have the 19th-ranked turnover margin in the NFL at -2, forcing 13 turnovers (29th in NFL) while turning it over 15 times (sixth in NFL).
Best Players for Dolphins
- Tua Tagovailoa: 3,238 PASS YDS / 269.8 YPG / 64.8% / 24 TD / 5 INT
- Raheem Mostert: 153 CAR / 746 YDS / 57.4 YPG / 3 TD / 19 REC / 146 YDS / 11.2 YPG / 1 TD
- Jeff Wilson Jr.: 136 CAR / 706 YDS / 54.3 YPG / 4 TD / 16 REC / 149 YDS / 11.5 YPG / 1 TD
- Tyreek Hill: 109 REC / 1,529 YDS / 109.2 YPG / 7 TD
- Jaylen Waddle: 62 REC / 1,117 YDS / 79.8 YPG / 7 TD
- Trent Sherfield: 26 REC / 362 YDS / 25.9 YPG / 2 TD
- Bradley Chubb: 38 TKL / 5 TFL / 8 SACK / 1 PD
- Jerome Baker: 90 TKL / 6 TFL / 4 SACK / 3 PD
- Jevon Holland: 71 TKL / 1.5 SACK / 2 INT / 6 PD
Betting Insights for Packers
- The Packers are 6-8-0 against the spread this year.
- The Packers are 1-1 against the spread when an underdog by 4 points or more this season.
- Packers games have hit the over in seven out of 14 opportunities (50%).
Stats & Insights for Packers
- From an offensive perspective, the Packers are accumulating 345.6 total yards per game (15th-ranked). They rank 15th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (334 total yards given up per game).
- From an offensive standpoint, the Packers are posting 20.5 points per contest (20th-ranked). They rank 15th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (22.4 points allowed per game).
- The Packers rank 16th in the NFL with 219.3 passing yards per contest, but they’ve been lifted up by their defense, which ranks second-best by surrendering only 185.1 passing yards per contest.
- The Packers’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in run defense this season, allowing 148.9 rushing yards per game, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL. Offensively, they rank 12th with 126.3 rushing yards per contest.
- In terms of third-down efficiency, the Packers rank 15th in the NFL (40.7% third-down conversion percentage) and 12th defensively (38% third-down rate allowed).
- From an offensive perspective, the Packers are accumulating 5.8 yards per play (12th-ranked). They rank 17th in the NFL on defense (5.8 yards allowed per play).
- With 16 forced turnovers (19th in NFL) and 19 turnovers committed (23rd in NFL) this season, the Packers rank 23rd in the NFL with a turnover margin of -3.
Best Players for Packers
- Aaron Rodgers: 3,093 PASS YDS / 220.9 YPG / 64.9% / 23 TD / 10 INT
- Aaron Jones: 181 CAR / 937 YDS / 66.9 YPG / 2 TD / 52 REC / 364 YDS / 26 YPG / 5 TD
- A.J. Dillon: 154 CAR / 660 YDS / 47.1 YPG / 5 TD / 26 REC / 194 YDS / 13.9 YPG / 0 TD
- Allen Lazard: 46 REC / 627 YDS / 52.3 YPG / 5 TD
- Christian Watson: 29 REC / 447 YDS / 40.6 YPG / 7 TD
- Randall Cobb: 29 REC / 381 YDS / 38.1 YPG / 1 TD
- Preston Smith: 50 TKL / 9 TFL / 7.5 SACK / 1 PD
- Quay Walker: 103 TKL / 5 TFL / 1.5 SACK / 5 PD
- Jaire Alexander: 49 TKL / 4 TFL / 4 INT / 12 PD
